Thursday, November 28, 2013

Robalini's Week 13 NFL Picks

Here's my results for Week 12
W-L-T record: 4-2
Season record: 54-65-4

Detroit Lions (-6) over Green Bay Packers
Football math: Green Bay Packers minus Aaron Rodgers equals Turkey Day loss.

Indianapolis Colts (-4) over Tennessee Titans
Is Andrew Luck elite yet?  Nope.  But he's good enough to lead the Colts over the Titans.

Denver Broncos (-4) over Kansas City Chiefs
Sorry KC, but this point spread is too low to pass up on Peyton Manning.

Cleveland Browns (-7) over Jacksonville Jaguars
Sorry Jags, but giving you only sevn points is too low to pass up on the Browns.

Carolina Panthers (-8) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sorry, Tampa, I'm not buying your three game win streak.  I am buying the Panthers' seven game win streak though.

Philadelphia Eagles (-3) over Arizona Cardinals
AZ is one of the really hot NFL teams right now.  So I'm gonna go contrarian and say the Eagles will trounce them back to size.

New York Jets (-1 1/2) over Miami Dolphins
There's a good chance of snow, and the Dolphins have a bad record in snow conditions over history.  That's besides still missing two starting offensive lineman.

Buffalo Bills (-3) over Atlanta Falcons
For all their flaws, the Bills are a competitive team.  The Falcons look like they've just given up.

St. Louis Rams (+9 1/2) over San Francisco 49ers
This spread is too high for the inconsistent 49ers to cover.

New England Patriots (-7 1/2) over Houston Texans
I'll bet on Brady with this reasonable spread.

New Orleans Saints (+6) over Seattle Seahawks
Seattle isn't as good as their record suggests this year.  I'll take the Saints to keep it close.

To check Las Vegas odds, The Konformist recommends

Thursday, November 21, 2013

Robalini's Week 12 NFL Picks

Here's my results for Week 11
W-L-T record: 1-5-2 (OUCH AGAIN!)
Season record: 50-63-4 (Double OUCH!!)

New Orleans Saints (-7 1/2) over Atlanta Falcons
The Saints are still looking great, and the Falcons are looking shockingly bad.

Carolina Panthers (-3 1/2) over Miami Dolphins
The Panthers are hot, and the Dolphins are the most disfunctional team in the NFL, so I'll bite.

Pittsburgh Steelers (+2 1/2) over Cleveland Browns
Despite the bad start this season, the Steelers have proven they are a competitive team, and will deliver against the Browns.

Dallas Cowboys (+2 1/2) over New York Giants
Don't believe the Giants four-game winning streak for a second.

Denver Broncos (-2 1/2) over New England Patriots
Finally a reasonable point spread!  Take the Broncos if Peyton Manning is getting less than a field goal spread, even if it's the Pats.

San Francisco 49ers (-5) over Washington Redskins
They may have lost two in a row, but the 49ers are still formidable against mediocre teams.  Enter Redskins.

To check Las Vegas odds, The Konformist recommends

Sunday, November 17, 2013

Robalini's Week 11 NFL Picks

Here's my results for Week 10
W-L-T record: 2-5 (OUCH!)
Season record: 49-58-2 (Double OUCH!!)

Atlanta Falcons (+1) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Falcons have lost three in a row, but should recover against the lowly Bucs.

Detroit Lions (-2) over Pittsburgh Steelers
Attention: the Lions have quietly taken over the lead in the NFC North.

Washigton Redskins (+4 1/2) over Philadelphia Eagles
I expect a close game, so take the points.

San Diego Chargers (-1 1/2) over Miami Dolphins
Never mind the serious locker turmoil, the real problem right now with the Dolphins is they're missing two starting offensive lineman.

Baltimore Ravens (+3) over Chicago Bears
Until Jay Cutler gets better, the Bears are a bad bet.

Kansas City Chiefs (+8 1/2) over Denver Broncos
The Broncos are the better team, but this is too many points, especially with a slightly injured Peyton Manning.

New Orleans Saints (-3) over San Francisco
This would be a close game... if the Saints weren't at home.  They are simply scary good at home.

New York Giants (-4) over Green Bay Packers
The Giants, after going 0-6, have won three in a row.  Oh wait, the Packers are using their third-string QB?  Make that four in a row.

To check Las Vegas odds, The Konformist recommends

Sunday, November 10, 2013

Robalini's Week 10 NFL Picks - Sunday

Philadelphia Eagles (+2) over Green Bay Packers
If you got in on this game on Tuesday, the Eagles were still getting points.  With Aaron Rodgers out, they won't need 7 touchdown passes to win this week.

St. Louis Rams (+10) over Indianapolis Colts
The Rams should keep it closer than the point spread suggests.

Atlanta (+6 1/2) over Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks are 8-1, but have had trouble covering.  They're also travelling to the East Coast, and the Falcons have a great home advantage.

San Francisco 49ers (-6) over Carolina Panthers
The Niners have won 5 in a row in double digits.  Make that six.

San Diego Chargers (+7) over Denver Broncos
The Chargers should keep this close at ome.

Dallas Cowboys (+7) over New Orleans Saints
Even when Tony Romo loses, it's close.  Take the points.

To check Las Vegas odds, The Konformist recommends

Thursday, November 7, 2013

Robalini's Week 10 NFL Picks - Thursday Special

Here's my results for Week 9
W-L-T record: 4-7
Season record: 47-53-2

Thursday Night Football:
Washington Redskins (-2 1/2) over Minnesota Vikings
Skins are starting to look good.

More games coming Saturday or early Sunday...

To check Las Vegas odds, The Konformist recommends

Sunday, November 3, 2013

Robalini's Week 9 NFL Picks - Sunday

Atlanta Falcons (+7 1/2) over Carolina Panthers
The Falcons have been losing, but they've been losing close.  Take the points.

Dallas Cowboys (-9 1/2) over Minnesota Vikings
Look for a great performance by Tony Romo in a decisive win.

New Orleans Saints (-5 1/2) over New York Jets
Drew Brees is on a roll.

Tennessee Titans (-2 1/2) over St. Louis Rams
The Titans have been overlooked all year by most, including myself.  Look for another win for an under-the-radar team.

Kansas City Chiefs (-3) over Buffalo Bills
The Chief undefeated run will continue.

San Diego Chargers (+1) over Washington Redskins
The Chargers are another overlooked team, and look for them to win against the Skins.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+16 1/2) over Seattle Seahawks
I don't like the Bucs, but 16 1/2 points?  I'll take 'em.

Baltimore Ravens (-1 1/2) over Cleveland Browns
I still don't take the Browns seriously.  Sorry.

Indianapolis Colts (-1 1/2) over Houston Texans
Despite the overhype, Andrew Luck has been playing consistently good this year, and should take care of the Texans.

Green Bay Packers (-10 1/2) over Chicago Bears
I'll take Aaron Rodgers and the Packers at home against a highly injured Bears team.

To check Las Vegas odds, The Konformist recommends